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Two Central, South Coast Congressional Incumbents Have Big Leads; Third Race A Question Mark


Two Congressional incumbents on the Central and South Coast have commanding leads in the November, 2020 election, and appear to be headed back to Washington D.C.  But, a third race is still a question mark.

Democratic Congressman Salud Carbajal of Santa Barbara had a 63% to 37% lead over Republican challenger Andy Caldwell, with 63% of precincts partially reporting.  Carbajal is seeking a third term.

Meanwhile, Democratic Congresswoman Julia Brownley appears to be on the path for a fifth term in office.  She had a 63% to 37% percent lead over Republican challenger Ronda Baldwin-Kennedy, with 85% of the precincts partially reporting.

A third congressional race in the region remains close.  The 25th District race has Democratic challenger Christy Smith with 52% of the vote to Republican incumbent Mike Garcia's 48%.  99% of the precincets have partially reported. 

The 25th District is the one where Democratic Katie Hill won in an upset in 2018.  But then, she resigned after being caught up in a scandal.  There was a special election to complete the rest of her term in May, which Garcia won by about a ten percent margin.  Now, Smith is poised to potentially unseat Garcia.

The district is mostly in Los Angeles County, but includes a slice of eastern Ventura County.